Table 1.

Prior and posterior values for the dynamic model parameters.

prior choiceposterior distribution
median ± s.d.95% credible interval
population dynamic
Embedded Image0.06 ± 0.020.03–0.09
Embedded Image1.06 ± 0.070.92–1.2
Embedded Image0.17 ± 0.020.13–0.21
Embedded Image0.15 ± 0.020.11–0.19
Embedded Image−0.05 ± 0.03−0.12–0.02
Embedded Image4.38 ± 3.30.17–12.29
Embedded Image5.53 ± 4.40.23–16.42
Embedded Image
Embedded Image
0.97 ± 0.020.93–1
Embedded Image
Embedded Image
1.03 ± 0.021–1.08
Embedded Image91.10 ± 6.1579.43–103.57
Embedded Image92.06 ± 7.478.15–107.39